Quote:
Originally Posted by Sir Lynx A Lot
My opinion is that Kim isn't crazy enough to engage anyone... He will push his limits and go as far as he is allowed, he'll pretend he's laughing but its the trickle of piss down his leg that tickles him, not pissing off other leaders.
Conversely, (and it is not my intent to piss off Trumpeteers or to turn this into a Trump bashing thread), but Trump loves bravado, he talks the talk but if he were ever to attempt to walk the walk he'll trip over his shoelaces. So when it comes to preemptive strikes, threats that have any realism, warnings that are likely to scare Kim... I haven't seen any yet.
So a war with North Korea is not likely to happen because it will turn real ugly real fast, but there are several key players who are sane enough and experienced enough to not let that happen!
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The turn of rhetoric starting with NK threats of the past few days of launching 4 missles at Guam and our response through today is more definitive, and since both China and Russia voted with the rest of the UN to unanimously agree to condemn NK for their actions and resolve to cause NK to stop and undue their Nuke Program, the whole civilized world is against what NK is attempting. Regardless of whose statement from us you want to read or comment on, essentially the US position is on the same page, so NK should be getting very nervous. It has caused a ripple in the markets today, but I do not believe that trend will hold. Point is So. Korea, Japan, China, Russia and the US are on the same page on this one. If the NK launches Japan has said anything flying over their soil enroute will be taken out. Remember that the test launches so far have fallen short of Japan whether by design or not, so anything headed over Japan airspace is fair game under ALL INTERNATIONAL RULES, not even to include the UN resolution agreed upon last week. (Oh, by the way, almost anything leaving from NK traveling towards the US, or Guam would have to pass over either Russia, or Japan territory.) It goes without saying that Russia would do the same thing as Japan has stated, but they by their UN agreement are obviously in the same camp as all the other UN nations who unanimously voted to condemn NK actions, missile tests, and threats which are already considered violations of UN rules and international law and certainly are not diplomacy in action. This foolish Haircut has now painted himself into a corner, especially since he is now talking about the number he will launch and claimed that he intends to make it land within 19 miles of Guam. If you think we are not ready for him, think again. Like Tillerson said yesterday, all Americans should be able to sleep very soundly at night. If this Haircut tries something there will be a lot less Koreans of the northern variety around. The several generational push of his country's strategy is understood by the world, and he could have avoided the push if he cared about his people. Instead of having half or more of his people tied up in the nuke program, he could have done an investment in farming and business and gotten their GDP up. That is the shame, but you know he does not listen to outsiders. It is hard to believe anyone who says that he is rational, logical, or sane. He follows the time honored Korean tradition of keeping the party line going until he is proven right, wrong, or is taken out. The recent leader of South Korea was replaced in a more civilized society just recently, but kept up a front until his time ran out. This has happened before in South Korea. The north follows a family control scheme of dictatorship that does not allow for any opposition. Time will tell what will go down.